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Home » Maths » Year 3 Maths (Aus Curriculum) » Year 3 Chance Events: Likely, Unlikely, Certain, Impossible Examples and Worksheets

Year 3 Chance Events: Likely, Unlikely, Certain, Impossible Examples and Worksheets

🎓 Year 3 (ACARA Code : AC9M3P01)
🎯Focus:
🎲 identify everyday events involving chance.
❓ describe possible outcomes as “likely” or “unlikely”.
✅ identify some events as “certain” or “impossible”.
💬 explain their reasoning with “because”.
🎯 predict and test simple chance events.



Video Lessons


📹 Video Lesson Tips

  • 💬 Tell someone which events are certain, impossible, likely or unlikely.
  • 🎯 Make a prediction about your day (“I think it is likely that I will…”).
  • 🎉 Try sorting your own events into categories.


💡 Key Ideas (Quick Guide)

Sorting events

  • Impossible = cannot happen (e.g., a dog will fly).
  • Certain = always happens (e.g., I will grow older).
  • Likely = often happens (e.g., I will eat lunch).
  • Unlikely = rarely happens (e.g., winning a big prize today)

🧩 Mini Quiz – Quick Check

Try these after watching the video:

❓Question 1: What is an impossible event?

✅ Answer: Something that cannot ever happen

❓Question 2: If I say, “I will grow older today,” is this event …?

✅ Answer: Certain

❓Question 3: “I will see the sun today” is :

✅ Answer: Likely

❓Question 4: “I will see a pink elephant flying” is :

✅ Answer: Impossible

❓Question 5: Which word matches “almost always happens”?

✅ Answer: Likely

Scored:

5/5 💯 = Champion!
3–4/5 🌟 = Great Work!
0–2/5 🔄 = Watch the video again!



📄 Sample Worksheet Preview

Year-3-Chance-How-Likely-or-Unlikely-Is-It-to-Happen-AC9M3P01-3-Worksheets

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📚 Other Lessons in Next Unit

🚀 Learning Path (Recommended Order)

StepLessonWhat You Learn
1
🎲 Year 3 Chance Experiments: Possible Outcomes Examples & Activities
Learn how to identify and list all possible outcomes of chance experiments using dice, coins, and spinners.
2
🎲 Year 3 Chance Experiments: Tally Charts, Trials and Variation (Examples & Worksheets)
Learn how to conduct repeated trials, record results using tally charts and frequency tables, and recognise variation in outcomes.

↩️ Back to Year 3 Maths

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